Why Investors Are Leaving Ontario for Florida (14% Cap Rates, 30-Day Evictions)
Ontario investors are moving money to landlord-friendly U.S. states. On my podcast, cross-border lawyer Lauren Cohen described Florida co-living deals with net cap rates of roughly 14 to 18 percent, evictions in about 30 days, no land transfer tax, and no state income tax, versus a roughly 5 percent cap and long tenant processes in Toronto. These are figures she shared on the show, not investment advice.
I list a lot of homes for people who are leaving Canada, and I have written separately about the how-to-move side of that. But there is a second story underneath it, and it is purely about the numbers. A growing number of Ontario landlords are not just frustrated. They are taking their capital and rebuilding their portfolios in the United States. When Lauren Cohen walked me through why on Supply and Demand, I understood the pull.
The number that made my eyebrows hit my hairline
Lauren refers the actual property deals to a developer rather than selling them herself, so I am passing along what she shared, not a pro forma. But the figure stopped me on the recording.
“Your cap rates, for example, in this investment are 14 percent. And they can go up and even higher.”
For context, a cap rate is simply your net operating income divided by what you paid, after expenses. Higher is better. In Toronto, you are lucky to get a 5 cap on a rental right now. So a 14 to 18 percent net cap rate is not a small edge. It is a different asset class. The question I had was obvious: why is the gap that big?
It is the rules, not just the price
The prices are lower in much of the U.S., yes. But Lauren was clear that a huge part of the difference is regulatory. In landlord-friendly red states, you carry far less risk on the tenant side, and that risk is exactly what has made being a landlord in Ontario so painful.
“It’s like night and day. Florida and most of the states where my clients are investing are red states, and they’re all very landlord friendly.”
- Evictions can drag on for months
- Rules skew heavily toward the tenant
- Land transfer tax on the way in
- Screening is so strict that good tenants get stuck too
- Evictions on the order of 30 days
- Landlord-friendly rules in most target states
- No land transfer tax, no state income tax
- Lower prices plus higher rents equals higher cap rates
There is a knock-on effect worth naming. Because a Florida landlord takes less regulatory risk on a tenancy, they do not have to demand a near-perfect tenant profile the way Ontario landlords now do. Less risk on the downside means more flexibility on who you can rent to, and the numbers still work.
The model Lauren likes: co-living
Her favourite structure is co-living, and it is a big reason the cap rates run high.
Multiply several rooms of rent under one roof, keep vacancy low with mid-term demand, and add fast enforcement, and you can see where a 14-plus cap comes from. Lauren also likes that it produces more affordable housing rather than less.
You cannot just buy a condo and coast
One important caveat Lauren kept returning to. If your only goal is returns, fine. But passive real estate on its own is not a business, and it will not get you U.S. immigration status.
“You can’t just invest in real estate unless you build a business around it. You have to hire people. You have to build a business. You can’t just have a stagnant, passive business.”
So the co-living approach does double duty: it is a managed, active operation, which is what qualifies for a visa like the E2, and it is also simply a more productive way to own the asset. If the immigration side is what you are after, I wrote a separate piece on how Canadians move to the U.S. with real estate, and the strategy-first approach that goes with it.
The costs nobody puts on the brochure
It is not all upside, and Lauren did not pretend otherwise. Insurance is real, especially with hurricane exposure. Car and home premiums run higher. And there is the currency hit when you convert.
“Once it’s done, you rip off the bandaid, and now you’re making money in U.S. dollars.”
Her argument is that once your income is in U.S. dollars, with no state income tax and lower housing costs, the pieces net out over time. Here is the honest side-by-side for a Canadian weighing it.
| Factor | Toronto / Ontario | Florida (per Lauren) |
|---|---|---|
| Typical net cap rate | Around 5% | 14% to 18% on co-living deals |
| Eviction timeline | Often months | About 30 days |
| Land transfer tax | Yes, significant | None |
| State or provincial income tax | Yes | No state income tax |
| Insurance | Lower | Higher, hurricane exposure |
| Currency | Earn in CAD | One-time conversion hit, then earn in USD |
The cap rates and figures above are what Lauren shared on the podcast, tied to specific developer deals. They are not a guarantee, not a forecast, and not investment advice. Cross-border real estate carries tax, legal, and currency complexity. Speak with a qualified cross-border accountant, a real estate professional in the target market, and an immigration lawyer before you act.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why are cap rates higher in Florida than in Toronto?
What is a cap rate in real estate?
What is the co-living or PadSplit model?
Can a Canadian buy investment real estate in the U.S.?
What are the downsides of investing in Florida real estate?
Watch the Full Episode
This is from my conversation with Lauren Cohen on Supply and Demand. If you invest in Ontario and the numbers here surprised you, the full episode is worth a listen. Find it on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, or watch below:
Related Reading
- Canada’s economic crisis and what it means for Toronto real estate
- Toronto condo market analysis
- How to recession-proof your real estate
- Should I buy or sell first?
If you own investment property in the GTA and you are weighing your options, or you need to sell an Ontario property cleanly before you redeploy the capital, that part I can help with directly. Reach out any time at 647-328-8958.
The figures, cap rates, and cross-border points above are a summary of Lauren Cohen’s comments on the podcast and are not legal, tax, immigration, or investment advice. Rules and markets change. Always consult qualified professionals about your own situation.
Adam Nadler | Vision Real Estate | Selling Services | RE/MAX Your Community Realty